SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 30, 2029997 days left

Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election?

This contract is priced at 65¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 65¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

65¢
$5K volume
$2K liquidity

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Hou Yu-ih 5¢

Ticker

KXPRESTAIWAN-28-WLAI

Market snapshot

William Lai in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election?. The displayed quote is 65¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $5K. In the Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election family, this outcome ranks #1 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

William Lai

Family rank

#1 of 3

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

65¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 30, 2029

Reported volume

$5K

Family context

3 outcomes · Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election

Quote range

2¢-65¢

Family leader

William Lai 65¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: KXPRESTAIWAN-28-WLAI. Family volume: .

Price history

65¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 10, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

65 / 70¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
65¢20
64¢500
61¢171
30¢921
15¢400
AskSize
70¢5
71¢500
88¢10
90¢50
95¢1.4K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election in 2028 is William Lai, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 30, 2029

Identifier

KXPRESTAIWAN-28-WLAI

Event family

Who will win the next Taiwanese presidential election.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

3

Highest price

William Lai 65¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

19.7%
68.0%
Adj IY
31%
2
7.000
LAS
0.08

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