SimpleFunctions

Yes · KXLIVOCCUR-26LIGUK

Yes is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 84¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

14¢ current

+9¢
0¢10¢
May 7, 2026May 22, 2026

Contract brief

If a LIV Golf Tournament happens in United Kingdom after issuance and before Jul 27, 2026 at 12:00am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Yes

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXLIVOCCUR-26LIGUK-YES

May 24, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

84¢

24h volume

$1

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 98¢

Kalshi
84¢ spread
BidSize
14¢16
13¢66
12¢41
10¢110
2¢294
AskSize
98¢5
99¢19

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If a LIV Golf Tournament happens in United Kingdom after issuance and before Jul 27, 2026 at 12:00am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Identifier

KXLIVOCCUR-26LIGUK-YES

SF Signal
SF Index
1765.63
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXLIVOCCUR-26LIGUK.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Yes 14¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3531.3%
93.6%
Adj IY
1766%
6

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.