3 source contracts·Kalshi 3·refreshed just now·Closes Aug 10, 2026 · 77d

Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in United Kingdom before July 27, 2026

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 39% across 3 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

39%

0%50%100%

Kalshi

39%

3 contracts

Polymarket

—

not bound

Cross-venue gap

—

single venue

24h move

—

no pin

24h volume

3 contracts

Closes

Aug 10, 2026

77 days

Open top contract Read answer

Source contractsPriceVolume

Will LIV Golf Korea take place in South Korea before June 1, 2026?: Yes93¢$0 Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in United Kingdom before July 27, 2026?: Yes14¢$0 Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in New Jersey before August 10, 2026?: Yes11¢$0

30-day trend

Aggregate of 3 contracts · 21d

Bracket families

2 clusters across 3 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place

2 contracts$0

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in New Jersey before August 10, 2026?: Yes

KXLIVOCCUR-26LIGNJ-YES

11¢+9pp$0K→

Will a LIV Golf Tournament take place in United Kingdom before July 27, 2026?: Yes

KXLIVOCCUR-26LIGUK-YES

14¢+2pp$0K→

Cluster 2

Will LIV Golf Korea take place in South Korea before June 1, 2026

1 contract$0

OutcomePrice24hVolumeVenueDetail

Will LIV Golf Korea take place in South Korea before June 1, 2026?: Yes

KXLIVOCCUR-26LIGKO-YES

93¢±0$0K→

What moved the line

May 20Yes↑9pp2→11¢ · Kalshi
May 20Yes↓5pp87→82¢ · Kalshi
May 23Yes↑4pp87→91¢ · Kalshi
May 18Yes↑3pp83→86¢ · Kalshi
May 22Yes↑3pp84→87¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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