Above 0 jobs added in June 2026
Above 0 is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 80¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 13 inside KXPAYROLLS-26JUN.
Price history
84¢ current
+17¢Contract brief
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above 0
Rank
#2 of 13
Leader
Above -25,000 87¢
Range
22¢-87¢
Family volume
$2
Identifier
KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T0
May 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
80¢
Ask
86¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#2 of 13
13 outcomes · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Family volume
$2
Orderbook snapshot
80 / 86¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of June 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Identifier
KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T0
Event family
KXPAYROLLS-26JUN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Above -25,000 87¢
Current share
100%
Above -25,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T-25000
Above 0
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T0
Above 10,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T10000
Above 20,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T20000
Above 30,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T30000
Above 40,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T40000
Above 50,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T50000
Above 60,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T60000
Above 70,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T70000
Above 80,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T80000
Above 90,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T90000
Above 100,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T100000
Above 125,000
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26JUN-T125000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 84% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.