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Above 0 jobs added in November 2026

Above 0 is priced at 76¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 13 inside KXPAYROLLS-26NOV.

Price history

76¢ current

+10¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 8, 2026Jun 5, 2026

Contract brief

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 0

Rank

#2 of 13

Leader

Above -25,000 80¢

Range

13¢-80¢

Family volume

$176

Identifier

KXPAYROLLS-26NOV-T0

Jun 5, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

76¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 5, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

76¢

Ask

78¢

Spread

24h volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 13

13 outcomes · KXPAYROLLS-26NOV

Closes

Dec 4, 2026

Family volume

$176

Orderbook snapshot

76 / 78¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
76¢10
72¢200
59¢84
58¢103
57¢107
AskSize
78¢200
92¢48
93¢14
94¢99
95¢336

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 0 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 4, 2026

Identifier

KXPAYROLLS-26NOV-T0

SF Signal
SF Index
309.80
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPAYROLLS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

63.5%

IY (No)

636.3%

Adj IY

310%

CRI

3

Overround

5.6%

LAS

0.03

Regime

neutral

Score

0.568

Observability

high

Event type

data_release

Full indicator table

63.5%
636.3%
Adj IY
310%
3
Overround
5.6%
LAS
0.03

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.