Will above 150000 jobs be added in April 2026?
This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$19K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXPAYROLLS-26APR-T150000
Market snapshot
Will above 150000 jobs be added in April 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will above 150000 jobs be added in April 2026?. The displayed quote is 12¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $19K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 15, 2026, 2:17 PM UTC.
Outcome
Will above 150000 jobs be added in April 2026
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
12¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Past listed close May 8, 2026
Reported volume
$19K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 15, 2026, 2:17 PM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXPAYROLLS-26APR-T150000. Family volume: $19K.
Price history
12¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 150000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 8, 2026
Identifier
KXPAYROLLS-26APR-T150000
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$19K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will above 150000 jobs be added in April 2026 12¢
Current share
100%
Will above 150000 jobs be added in April 2026
kalshi · KXPAYROLLS-26APR-T150000
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.