SimpleFunctions

Adam Pavlasek / Patrik Rikl to win the Cash / Glasspool vs Pavlasek / Rikl

Adam Pavlasek / Patrik Rikl is priced at 49¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 64¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29CASGLAPAVRIK.

Price history

49¢ current

+44¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Adam Pavlasek / Patrik Rikl wins the Cash / Glasspool vs Pavlasek / Rikl professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Adam Pavlasek / Patrik Rikl

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Julian Cash / Lloyd Glasspool 57¢

Range

34¢-57¢

Family volume

$2

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29CASGLAPAVRIK-PAVRIK

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

49¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

34¢

Ask

64¢

Spread

30¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29CASGLAPAVRIK

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$2

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 64¢

Kalshi
30¢ spread
BidSize
100¢750
34¢1.0K
7¢146
6¢1.8K
4¢500
AskSize
64¢163
65¢2
66¢5
67¢555
68¢30

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Adam Pavlasek / Patrik Rikl wins the Cash / Glasspool vs Pavlasek / Rikl professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29CASGLAPAVRIK-PAVRIK

SF Signal
SF Index
4881.36
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29CASGLAPAVRIK.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Julian Cash / Lloyd Glasspool 57¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4881.4%

IY (No)

1295.4%

Adj IY

4881%

CRI

2

RV

2661%

VR

3.19

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4881.4%
1295.4%
Adj IY
4881%
2
RV
2661%
VR
3.19
IAR
0.6/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.