Will Robert Galloway / John Peers win the Atmane / Muller vs Galloway / Peers
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 25% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
25%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$43
20 contracts
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
15 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
19 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Heads-up — heterogeneous clusters
The top two clusters share only 8% of their title tokens — “Will Robert” vs “Will Marcel Granollers / Horacio Zeballos win the Granollers / Zeballos vs Kirkov / Stevens: Round Of 32 match”. The headline aggregate weights both, so the number on this page is meaningful only if the clusters resolve to the same question.
Cluster 1
Will Robert
Will Robert Galloway / John Peers win the Arevalo / Pavic vs Galloway / Peers: Round Of 32 match?: Robert Galloway / John Peers
KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29AREPAVGALPEE-GALPEE
Will Robert Cash / James Tracy win the Cash / Tracy vs Droguet / Gaston: Round Of 32 match?: Robert Cash / James Tracy
KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29CASTRADROGAS-CASTRA
Cluster 2
Will Marcel Granollers / Horacio Zeballos win the Granollers / Zeballos vs Kirkov / Stevens: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 3
Will Andre Goransson / Evan King win the Goransson / King vs Hidalgo / Trhac: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 4
Will Julian Cash / Lloyd Glasspool win the Cash / Glasspool vs Pavlasek / Rikl: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 5
Will Marcelo Arevalo / Mate Pavic win the Arevalo / Pavic vs Galloway / Peers: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 6
Will Sander Arends / David Pel win the Arends / Pel vs Krajicek / Mektic: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 7
Will Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic win the Arends / Pel vs Krajicek / Mektic: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 8
Will N. Sriram Balaji / Marcelo Demoliner win the Balaji N / Demoliner vs Schnaitter / Wallner: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 9
Will Jakob Schnaitter / Mark Wallner win the Balaji N / Demoliner vs Schnaitter / Wallner: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 10
Will Mattia Bellucci / Fabian Marozsan win the Bellucci / Marozsan vs Heliovaara / Patten: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 11
Will Harri Heliovaara / Henry Patten win the Bellucci / Marozsan vs Heliovaara / Patten: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 12
Will Zizou Bergs / Raphael Collignon win the Bergs / Collignon vs Nouza / Oberleitner: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 13
Will Petr Nouza / Neil Oberleitner win the Bergs / Collignon vs Nouza / Oberleitner: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 14
Will Yuki Bhambri / Michael Venus win the Bhambri / Venus vs Bolelli / Vavassori: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 15
Will Simone Bolelli / Andrea Vavassori win the Bhambri / Venus vs Bolelli / Vavassori: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 16
Will Adam Pavlasek / Patrik Rikl win the Cash / Glasspool vs Pavlasek / Rikl: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 17
Will Titouan Droguet / Hugo Gaston win the Cash / Tracy vs Droguet / Gaston: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 18
Will Diego Hidalgo / Patrik Trhac win the Goransson / King vs Hidalgo / Trhac: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 19
Will Vasil Kirkov / Bart Stevens win the Granollers / Zeballos vs Kirkov / Stevens: Round Of 32 match
Analysis
This probability reflects the likelihood that the doubles team of Robert Galloway and John Peers will defeat Terence Atmane and Alexandre Muller in a Round of 64 match at an upcoming tennis tournament. At 17%, the market is currently favoring Atmane and Muller as the stronger pairing. The probability depends primarily on the recent form and ranking strength of both teams—higher-ranked or in-form players would increase Galloway/Peers' chances, while momentum shifts toward their opponents would lower it. The match outcome will be definitively resolved when the match is played, which determines whether this prediction was accurate. Current contract pricing shows limited trading activity, suggesting relatively low market confidence or interest in this specific matchup at present.
- ›ATP/ITF doubles rankings and recent win-loss records for both Galloway/Peers and Atmane/Muller
- ›Head-to-head match history between these two teams, if any exists
- ›Surface type of the tournament and which team's playing style typically performs better on that surface
- ›Recent tournament performance and seeding status of both teams entering this Round of 64
- ›Player injury status or roster changes in the days leading up to the scheduled match
What moved the line
- May 28Round Of 32 match?: Robert Cash / James Tracy↑9pp5→14¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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