Alex de Minaur to win the de Minaur vs Mensik
Alex de Minaur is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 76¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPMATCH-26MAY29DEMEN.
Price history
78¢ current
+43¢Contract brief
If Alex de Minaur wins the de Minaur vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alex de Minaur
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Alex de Minaur 76¢
Range
22¢-76¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
KXATPMATCH-26MAY29DEMEN-DE
May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
76¢
Ask
77¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$8K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXATPMATCH-26MAY29DEMEN
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
76 / 77¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alex de Minaur wins the de Minaur vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
Identifier
KXATPMATCH-26MAY29DEMEN-DE
Event family
KXATPMATCH-26MAY29DEMEN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Alex de Minaur 76¢
Current share
87%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.