Alex Pereira · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14PERGAN
Alex Pereira is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14PERGAN.
Price history
54¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Alex Pereira wins the Pereira vs Gane professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alex Pereira
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Alex Pereira 53¢
Range
47¢-53¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14PERGAN-PER
May 28, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
54¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$9K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14PERGAN
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 54¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alex Pereira wins the Pereira vs Gane professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14PERGAN-PER
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14PERGAN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Alex Pereira 53¢
Current share
81%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.