Algeria · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J
Algeria is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 62¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J.
Price history
58¢ current
−8¢Contract brief
If Algeria is one of the teams to qualify from Group J for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Algeria
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Argentina 92¢
Range
16¢-92¢
Family volume
$41
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J-DZA
May 27, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
62¢
Ask
75¢
Spread
13¢
Reported volume
$561
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$41
Orderbook snapshot
62 / 75¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Algeria is one of the teams to qualify from Group J for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J-DZA
Event family
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Argentina 92¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
Read 58% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.