Austria · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J
Austria is priced at 73¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 74¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J.
Price history
73¢ current
Contract brief
If Austria is one of the teams to qualify from Group J for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Austria
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Argentina 92¢
Range
16¢-92¢
Family volume
$41
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J-AUT
May 27, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
74¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$41
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$41
Orderbook snapshot
74 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Austria is one of the teams to qualify from Group J for the Round of 32 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J-AUT
Event family
KXWCGROUPQUAL-26J.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Argentina 92¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 73% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.