Will Alireza Firouzja win the Grand Chess Tour 2026 Finals?
This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
10
Family volume
$146
Best sibling
Fabiano Caruana 19¢
Ticker
KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-AFIR
Price history
11¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 12¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Alireza Firouzja wins the Grand Chess Tour 2026 Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 13, 2026
Identifier
KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-AFIR
Event family
KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$146
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Fabiano Caruana 19¢
Current share
29%
Alireza Firouzja
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-AFIR
Fabiano Caruana
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-FCAR
Vincent Keymer
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-VKEY
Wesley So
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-WSO
Hans Niemann
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-HNIE
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-MVAC
Javokhir Sindarov
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-JSIN
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-NABD
Anish Giri
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-AGIR
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa
kalshi · KXCHESSGRANDTOUR-26-RPRA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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