4+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game · Will all hitters combined record
4+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Will all hitters combined record.
Price history
88¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If all hitters combined record 4+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
4+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
2+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game 94¢
Range
18¢-94¢
Family volume
$220
Identifier
KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-4
Jun 7, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$170
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · Will all hitters combined record
Closes
Dec 3, 2026
Family volume
$220
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 94¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If all hitters combined record 4+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game across all games during the 2026 Pro Baseball season (regular season and playoffs), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 3, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-4
Event family
Will all hitters combined record.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$220
Outcomes
9
Highest price
2+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game 94¢
Current share
0%
2+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
kalshi · KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-2
3+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
kalshi · KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-3
4+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
kalshi · KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-4
5+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
kalshi · KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-5
6+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
kalshi · KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-6
7+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
kalshi · KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-7
8+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
kalshi · KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-8
9+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
kalshi · KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-9
10+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game
kalshi · KXMLBSTATCOUNT-263HR-AH-10
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.