All of a Sudden · KXOSCARPIC-27
All of a Sudden is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXOSCARPIC-27.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If All of a Sudden has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
All of a Sudden
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
The Odyssey 34¢
Range
1¢-34¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXOSCARPIC-27-ALL
Jun 21, 2026, 4:31 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$24K
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KXOSCARPIC-27
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If All of a Sudden has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXOSCARPIC-27-ALL
Event family
KXOSCARPIC-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
The Odyssey 34¢
Current share
0%
The Odyssey
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-ODY
Dune: Part Three
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-DUN
Digger
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-DIG
Wild Horse Nine
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-WIL
Project Hail Mary
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-PRO
The Social Reckoning
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-SOC
The Black Ball
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-BLA
Obsession
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-OBS
Fjord
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-FJO
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-ADV
Disclosure Day
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-DIS
Behemoth
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-BEH
Michael
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-MIC
Tie
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-TIE
Josephine
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-JOS
All of a Sudden
kalshi · KXOSCARPIC-27-ALL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter
How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.