SimpleFunctions

Alonzo Menifield · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN

Alonzo Menifield is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN.

Price history

30¢ current

+5¢
30¢
May 24, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Alonzo Menifield wins the Mingyang vs Menifield professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Alonzo Menifield

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Zhang Mingyang 69¢

Range

29¢-69¢

Family volume

$928

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN-MEN

May 27, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

30¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

29¢

Ask

30¢

Spread

24h volume

$699

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$928

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 30¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
29¢1.5K
28¢2.2K
27¢3.5K
26¢190
24¢1.0K
AskSize
30¢125
31¢2.4K
32¢2.8K
33¢1.2K
34¢2.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Alonzo Menifield wins the Mingyang vs Menifield professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN-MEN

SF Signal
SF Index
4968.15
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$928

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Zhang Mingyang 69¢

Current share

75%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4968.1%

IY (No)

828.8%

Adj IY

4968%

CRI

2

RV

235%

VR

0.34

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4968.1%
828.8%
Adj IY
4968%
2
RV
235%
VR
0.34
IAR
0.4/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.