SimpleFunctions

Zhang Mingyang · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN

Zhang Mingyang is priced at 70¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN.

Price history

70¢ current

+6¢
60¢70¢
May 24, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Zhang Mingyang wins the Mingyang vs Menifield professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Zhang Mingyang

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Zhang Mingyang 69¢

Range

30¢-69¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN-MIN

May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

70¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

69¢

Ask

70¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

69 / 70¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
69¢2.7K
68¢1.7K
67¢5.5K
66¢3.5K
64¢1.0K
AskSize
70¢568
71¢22K
72¢1.4K
73¢2.7K
74¢3.7K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Zhang Mingyang wins the Mingyang vs Menifield professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN-MIN

SF Signal
SF Index
2511.34
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXUFCFIGHT-26MAY30MINMEN.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Zhang Mingyang 69¢

Current share

68%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1013.8%
5022.7%
Adj IY
2511%
2

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.