Alpine to win F1 Constructors'
Alpine is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 11 inside F1 Constructors' Champion.
Price history
1¢ current
−49¢Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Outcome
Alpine
Rank
#4 of 11
Leader
Mercedes 88¢
Range
1¢-88¢
Family volume
$21.5M
Identifier
0xa6c8d7d0...ca4f
May 28, 2026, 10:15 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$27K
Family rank
#4 of 11
11 outcomes · F1 Constructors' Champion
Closes
Dec 6, 2026
Family volume
$21.5M
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 6, 2026
Identifier
0xa6c8d7d0…ca4f
Event family
F1 Constructors' Champion.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$21.5M
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Mercedes 88¢
Current share
13%
Mercedes
polymarket · 0x9c4459a70fd67a346075c22a6b010b454794204f2f28d128983b9056fe8d64b5
McLaren
polymarket · 0x5580ee82864f4523f7ecfe3a132642ca2db71a4187cd9d45df10579bf7655efd
Ferrari
polymarket · 0xfd516863c645e716dd507bd159267c85362b9b9b4a8bc9af340c2dda3b3751d7
Williams
polymarket · 0x336ee35845099e7d11fa2edbe417ef7791507130689f0f71a35ecc7480807404
Cadillac
polymarket · 0x0bd8a57fe56926b10c34052d3d8581db3354b257b150e43301f4bb94913c2d85
Alpine
polymarket · 0xa6c8d7d0d25f27f1b6ecadd74be78256bf7c248d9d7c6fb9bc42d2059cfdca4f
Haas
polymarket · 0x115401967f653200b41852811453cb5aac5052f339af0a63920fb84e6485f316
Aston Martin
polymarket · 0x4d7eeb6b14f64cc6b847a5fea348e78f54a7ebbbf3a8e0df2141c916cc4ee3d3
Audi
polymarket · 0x523f29f4370b912f8434eba7726b7dd2e463f252cd14c2b97a2c7f256f0921a6
Racing Bulls
polymarket · 0xc031351cea755544a76be09c2e884554c04eeea7fc172fb9de2caac4b92fc854
Red Bull Racing
polymarket · 0xe0342431765701abd4d9b25c1a205852a6f8df0324aeb9e7d7f58faced483881
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.