SimpleFunctions

Andrey Rublev to win the Borges vs Rublev

Andrey Rublev is priced at 73¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 73¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPMATCH-26MAY29BORRUB.

Price history

73¢ current

+4¢
50¢75¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Andrey Rublev wins the Borges vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Andrey Rublev

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Andrey Rublev 72¢

Range

27¢-72¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY29BORRUB-RUB

May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

73¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

72¢

Ask

73¢

Spread

24h volume

$5K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPMATCH-26MAY29BORRUB

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

72 / 73¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
72¢5.6K
71¢5.4K
70¢15K
69¢16K
68¢6.1K
AskSize
73¢26K
74¢50K
75¢21K
76¢9.9K
77¢752

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Andrey Rublev wins the Borges vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPMATCH-26MAY29BORRUB-RUB

SF Signal
SF Index
6321.89
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPMATCH-26MAY29BORRUB.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Andrey Rublev 72¢

Current share

74%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

969.6%

IY (No)

6411.0%

Adj IY

6322%

CRI

3

RV

2239%

VR

6.32

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

969.6%
6411.0%
Adj IY
6322%
3
RV
2239%
VR
6.32
IAR
0.5/h
LAS
0.01

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.