SimpleFunctions

Anhelina Kalinina / Dayana Yastremska to win the Kalinina / Yastremska vs Maria / Sonmez

Anhelina Kalinina / Dayana Yastremska is priced at 64¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29KALYASMARSON.

Price history

64¢ current

+59¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Anhelina Kalinina / Dayana Yastremska wins the Kalinina / Yastremska vs Maria / Sonmez professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Anhelina Kalinina / Dayana Yastremska

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Anhelina Kalinina / Dayana Yastremska 64¢

Range

27¢-64¢

Family volume

$13

Identifier

KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29KALYASMARSON-KALYAS

May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

64¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

64¢

Ask

69¢

Spread

24h volume

$7

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29KALYASMARSON

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$13

Orderbook snapshot

64 / 69¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
64¢993
28¢1.2K
26¢555
21¢15
5¢17
AskSize
69¢7
79¢555
90¢80
95¢1.4K
96¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Anhelina Kalinina / Dayana Yastremska wins the Kalinina / Yastremska vs Maria / Sonmez professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29KALYASMARSON-KALYAS

SF Signal
SF Index
4407.31
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWTADOUBLES-26MAY29KALYASMARSON.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$13

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Anhelina Kalinina / Dayana Yastremska 64¢

Current share

50%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1394.5%

IY (No)

4407.3%

Adj IY

4407%

CRI

2

RV

3286%

VR

4.14

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1394.5%
4407.3%
Adj IY
4407%
2
RV
3286%
VR
4.14
IAR
1.3/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.