Will Sara Errani / Lilli Tagger win the Perez / Schuurs vs Errani / Tagger
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 32% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
32%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
+24pp
15h ago
24h volume
$2K
20 contracts
Closes
Jun 12, 2026
15 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
20 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Katerina Siniakova / Taylor Townsend win the Siniakova / Townsend vs Arango / Jovic: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 2
Will Emiliana Arango / Iva Jovic win the Siniakova / Townsend vs Arango / Jovic: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 3
Will Tatjana Maria / Zeynep Sonmez win the Kalinina / Yastremska vs Maria / Sonmez: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 4
Will Anhelina Kalinina / Dayana Yastremska win the Kalinina / Yastremska vs Maria / Sonmez: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 5
Will Marie Bouzkova / Sara Sorribes Tormo win the Bouzkova / Sorribes Tormo vs Haddad Maia / Samsonova: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 6
Will Beatriz Haddad Maia / Liudmila Samsonova win the Bouzkova / Sorribes Tormo vs Haddad Maia / Samsonova: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 7
Will Eudice Chong / Veronika Erjavec win the Chong / Erjavec vs Hunter / McNally: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 8
Will Storm Hunter / Caty McNally win the Chong / Erjavec vs Hunter / McNally: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 9
Will Gabriela Dabrowski / Luisa Stefani win the Dabrowski / Stefani vs Pridankina / Tang: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 10
Will Elena Pridankina / Qianhui Tang win the Dabrowski / Stefani vs Pridankina / Tang: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 11
Will Anastasia Detiuc / Irina Khromacheva win the Detiuc / Khromacheva vs Eikeri / Gleason: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 12
Will Ulrikke Eikeri / Quinn Gleason win the Detiuc / Khromacheva vs Eikeri / Gleason: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 13
Will Hanyu Guo / Kristina Mladenovic win the Guo / Mladenovic vs Hsieh S-W / Wang XIN: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 14
Will Su-Wei Hsieh / Xinyu Wang win the Guo / Mladenovic vs Hsieh S-W / Wang XIN: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 15
Will Anna Danilina / Aleksandra Krunic win the Joint / Vandewinkel vs Danilina / Krunic: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 16
Will Maya Joint / Hanne Vandewinkel win the Joint / Vandewinkel vs Danilina / Krunic: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 17
Will Shuko Aoyama / En-Shuo Liang win the Ostapenko / Routliffe vs Aoyama / Liang: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 18
Will Jelena Ostapenko / Erin Routliffe win the Ostapenko / Routliffe vs Aoyama / Liang: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 19
Will Sara Errani / Lilli Tagger win the Perez / Schuurs vs Errani / Tagger: Round Of 32 match
Cluster 20
Will Ellen Perez / Demi Schuurs win the Perez / Schuurs vs Errani / Tagger: Round Of 32 match
Analysis
This market reflects an 8% probability that Sara Errani and Lilli Tagger will defeat Perez and Schuurs in their upcoming doubles match. The low odds suggest market participants view Errani/Tagger as significant underdogs, likely reflecting differences in player rankings, recent form, or head-to-head records. The probability could shift higher if recent tournament results or rankings indicate Errani/Tagger are performing better than expected, or lower if Perez/Schuurs demonstrate strong recent form leading into the match. The match outcome will resolve when the contest is completed, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament.
- ›Current ATP/WTA doubles rankings and recent ranking trends for all four players
- ›Head-to-head match history between the Perez/Schuurs pairing and the Errani/Tagger pairing if available
- ›Tournament performance and win-loss records in doubles competitions during the current season for both teams
- ›Recent surface performance, as doubles dynamics and player comfort vary significantly by court type
- ›Injury status or recent absences of any of the four players that might affect match preparation or fitness
What moved the line
- May 28Round Of 32 match?: Emiliana Arango / Iva Jovic↑12pp5→17¢ · Kalshi
- May 28Round Of 32 match?: Katerina Siniakova / Taylor Townsend↑8pp7→15¢ · Kalshi
- May 27Round Of 32 match?: Hanyu Guo / Kristina Mladenovic↑7pp5→12¢ · Kalshi
- May 27Round Of 32 match?: Su-Wei Hsieh / Xinyu Wang↑4pp5→9¢ · Kalshi
- May 28Round Of 32 match?: Gabriela Dabrowski / Luisa Stefani↑3pp5→8¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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