SimpleFunctions

Anthony Kozycki · KXGAPRIMARY-07D26

Anthony Kozycki is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXGAPRIMARY-07D26.

Price history

94¢ current

+10¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 27, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Anthony Kozycki wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 GA-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Anthony Kozycki

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Anthony Kozycki 92¢

Range

4¢-92¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXGAPRIMARY-07D26-AKOZ

May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

94¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

92¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

Reported volume

$15K

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXGAPRIMARY-07D26

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 96¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
92¢100
92¢29
91¢200
85¢20
47¢51
AskSize
96¢11
98¢250
99¢162
99¢25
99¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Anthony Kozycki wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 GA-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXGAPRIMARY-07D26-AKOZ

SF Signal
SF Index
400.13
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXGAPRIMARY-07D26.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$4K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Anthony Kozycki 92¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6.1%
800.3%
Adj IY
400%
12

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.