SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 19, 2027375 days left

Will anyone win the Senate Republican primary election in the first round?

This contract is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

25¢
$8K volume
$3K liquidity
7233% of event volume

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$112

Best sibling

Governor Republican primary 3¢

Ticker

KXGAPRIMARY1R-26MAY19-SENR

Market snapshot

Senate Republican primary in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will anyone win the Senate Republican primary election in the first round?. The displayed quote is 25¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $8K. In the Will anyone win family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Senate Republican primary

Family rank

#3 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

25¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 19, 2027

Reported volume

$8K

Family context

5 outcomes · Will anyone win

Quote range

3¢-56¢

Family leader

Lt. Governor Democratic primary 56¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: KXGAPRIMARY1R-26MAY19-SENR. Family volume: $112.

Price history

25¢ current

46¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 25, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 26¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢114
19¢900
17¢200
5¢445
2¢1.2K
AskSize
26¢138
27¢100
28¢200
37¢2.4K
87¢4.2K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Senate Republican primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 19, 2027

Identifier

KXGAPRIMARY1R-26MAY19-SENR

Event family

Will anyone win.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$112

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Lt. Governor Democratic primary 56¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

414.5%

IY (No)

22.8%

Adj IY

207%

CRI

4

Overround

0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

414.5%
22.8%
Adj IY
207%
4
Overround
0.3%

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