SimpleFunctions

Before Jun 30 · Will AP call the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before 12AM ET on Jun

Before Jun 30 is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Will AP call the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before 12AM ET on Jun.

Price history

99¢ current

+8¢
90¢100¢
Jun 4, 2026Jun 6, 2026

Contract brief

If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of both advancers (or an outright winner) for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before 12AM ET on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Jun 30

Rank

#1 of 5

Leader

Before Jun 30 98¢

Range

80¢-98¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXAPCALLLAMAYOR-26JUN03-JUN3012A

Jun 7, 2026, 9:46 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

99¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 7, 2026, 9:46 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

98¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

24h volume

$10

Family rank

#1 of 5

5 outcomes · Will AP call the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before 12AM ET on Jun

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

98 / 99¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
98¢3.5K
61¢1.7K
60¢10
7¢46
3¢13
AskSize
99¢52

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of both advancers (or an outright winner) for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before 12AM ET on Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

KXAPCALLLAMAYOR-26JUN03-JUN3012A

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will AP call the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary before 12AM ET on Jun.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

Before Jun 30 98¢

Current share

1%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.