Before 2027 · KXPRICEINCREASEAPPLEMUSIC-26
Before 2027 is priced at 54¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
54¢ current
+22¢Contract brief
If Apple Music Individual Plan (Monthly) has a national price increase of anything greater than 0% announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$75
Identifier
KXPRICEINCREASEAPPLEMUSIC-26
May 25, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
53¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$75
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$75
Orderbook snapshot
53 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Apple Music Individual Plan (Monthly) has a national price increase of anything greater than 0% announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXPRICEINCREASEAPPLEMUSIC-26
Event family
KXPRICEINCREASEAPPLEMUSIC-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$75
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before 2027 54¢
Current share
100%
Before 2027
kalshi · KXPRICEINCREASEAPPLEMUSIC-26
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.