Ariana Grande · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01
Ariana Grande is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 94¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01.
Price history
92¢ current
+87¢Contract brief
If Ariana Grande is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs Global chart in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ariana Grande
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Olivia Rodrigo 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$10K
Identifier
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-ARI
May 24, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
94¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$10K
Orderbook snapshot
94 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ariana Grande is #1 on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs Global chart in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-ARI
Event family
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Olivia Rodrigo 99¢
Current share
13%
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-OLII
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-ARI
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-ALE
Chappell Roan
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-CHAP
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-TAY
Bruno Mars
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-BRU
BTS
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-BTS
PinkPantheress
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-PIN
A$AP Rocky
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-ASA
Baby Keem
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-BAB
Bella Kay
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-BEL
Charli xcx
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-CHA
Djo
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-DJO
Dominic Fike
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-DOM
Ella Langley
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-ELL
EsDeeKid
kalshi · KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26JUN01-ESD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 92% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.