Will Ariana Grande release a new song before May 9, 2026?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$4K
Best sibling
Before May 30, 2026 96¢
Ticker
KXSONGRELEASEDATEAG-26-MAY09
Market snapshot
Before May 9, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Ariana Grande release a new song before May 9, 2026?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $400. In the Will Ariana Grande release a new song before May family, this outcome ranks #4 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:48 AM UTC.
Outcome
Before May 9, 2026
Family rank
#4 of 4
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
2¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 9, 2026
24h volume
$400
Family context
4 outcomes · Will Ariana Grande release a new song before May
Quote range
2¢-96¢
Family leader
Before May 30, 2026 96¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 6:48 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXSONGRELEASEDATEAG-26-MAY09. Family volume: $4K.
Price history
2¢ current
−38¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 2¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Ariana Grande releases a new song Before May 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 9, 2026
Identifier
KXSONGRELEASEDATEAG-26-MAY09
Event family
Will Ariana Grande release a new song before May.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Before May 30, 2026 96¢
Current share
9%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
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