SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 15, 202637 days left

Will Arsenal win at least 1 trophy this season

This contract is priced at 85¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 84¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

85¢
$83K volume
$33K liquidity
4503% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$2K

Best sibling

2 trophies this season: 2+ Trophies 10¢

Ticker

KXARSENALCUPS-26-1

Market snapshot

1 trophy this season: 1+ Trophies in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Arsenal win at least 1 trophy this season. The displayed quote is 85¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $280. In the Will Arsenal win at least family, this outcome ranks #1 of 2 by current quote across 2 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

1 trophy this season: 1+ Trophies

Family rank

#1 of 2

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

85¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 15, 2026

24h volume

$280

Family context

2 outcomes · Will Arsenal win at least

Quote range

10¢-84¢

Family leader

1 trophy this season: 1+ Trophies 84¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXARSENALCUPS-26-1. Family volume: $2K.

Price history

85¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

84 / 85¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
84¢4
82¢118
76¢21
75¢25
74¢276
AskSize
85¢23
86¢8
89¢71
90¢287
91¢63

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Arsenal wins 1+ trophies in the 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 15, 2026

Identifier

KXARSENALCUPS-26-1

Event family

Will Arsenal win at least.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

1 trophy this season: 1+ Trophies 84¢

Current share

15%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

185.9%

IY (No)

5123.7%

Adj IY

5124%

CRI

5

RV

80%

VR

0.61

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

185.9%
5123.7%
Adj IY
5124%
5
RV
80%
VR
0.61
IAR
0.4/h

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