SimpleFunctions

Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic to win the Arends / Pel vs Krajicek / Mektic

Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic is priced at 73¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 33¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29AREPELKRAMEK.

Price history

73¢ current

+68¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic wins the Arends / Pel vs Krajicek / Mektic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic 56¢

Range

34¢-56¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29AREPELKRAMEK-KRAMEK

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

73¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

56¢

Ask

89¢

Spread

33¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29AREPELKRAMEK

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 89¢

Kalshi
33¢ spread
BidSize
56¢1.0K
33¢555
11¢2.7K
10¢49
5¢42
AskSize
89¢10
90¢80
96¢500
97¢1
98¢796

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic wins the Arends / Pel vs Krajicek / Mektic professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29AREPELKRAMEK-KRAMEK

SF Signal
SF Index
3200.45
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29AREPELKRAMEK.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Austin Krajicek / Nikola Mektic 56¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1975.8%

IY (No)

3200.5%

Adj IY

3200%

CRI

1

RV

2139%

VR

3.64

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1975.8%
3200.5%
Adj IY
3200%
1
RV
2139%
VR
3.64
IAR
0.4/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.