Babydoll · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26
Babydoll is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26.
Price history
22¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Babydoll is the #2 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Babydoll
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Babydoll 16¢
Range
1¢-16¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-BAB
Jun 6, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
16¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Babydoll is the #2 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-BAB
Event family
KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Babydoll 16¢
Current share
—
Babydoll
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-BAB
DtMF
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-DTMF
luther (with sza)
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-LUT
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-TIM
The Fate of Ophelia
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-FAT
Golden
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-GOL
Ordinary
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-ORD
Manchild
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-MAN
Your Idol
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-YOU
Soda Pop
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-SOD
Don’t Say You Love Me
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-DON
BIRDS OF A FEATHER
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-BIR
back to friends
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-BAC
Die With A Smile
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-DIE
APT.
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-APT
End of Beginning
kalshi · KXTOPSONGRUNNERUPUSA-26-END
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.