SimpleFunctions

Ben Taylor · KXKFTOUR-UNHC26

Ben Taylor is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXKFTOUR-UNHC26.

Price history

24¢ current

20¢25¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Ben Taylor wins the UNC Health Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ben Taylor

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Blades Brown 11¢

Range

1¢-11¢

Family volume

$35K

Identifier

KXKFTOUR-UNHC26-BTAY

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXKFTOUR-UNHC26

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$35K

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 9¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
4¢2
4¢5
AskSize
9¢2
9¢5
10¢2
11¢752
12¢890

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ben Taylor wins the UNC Health Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXKFTOUR-UNHC26-BTAY

SF Signal
SF Index
27137.55
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

54275.1%

IY (No)

94.2%

Adj IY

27138%

CRI

24

Overround

-0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

54275.1%
94.2%
Adj IY
27138%
24
Overround
-0.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.