SimpleFunctions

Blades Brown · KXKFTOUR-UNHC26

Blades Brown is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside KXKFTOUR-UNHC26.

Price history

10¢ current

+5¢
10¢
May 25, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Blades Brown wins the UNC Health Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Blades Brown

Rank

#1 of 9

Leader

Blades Brown 8¢

Range

1¢-8¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXKFTOUR-UNHC26-BBRO

May 26, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

10¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

24h volume

$859

Family rank

#1 of 9

9 outcomes · KXKFTOUR-UNHC26

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 10¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
100¢718
100¢1.0K
100¢50
8¢401
5¢3
AskSize
10¢28
15¢500
18¢76
19¢815
20¢1.4K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Blades Brown wins the UNC Health Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXKFTOUR-UNHC26-BBRO

SF Signal
SF Index
11529.69
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

23059.4%

IY (No)

174.4%

Adj IY

11530%

CRI

12

Overround

-0.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

23059.4%
174.4%
Adj IY
11530%
12
Overround
-0.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.