SimpleFunctions

BITCH by Lizzo have above 10000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026 tracking week

Above 10K is priced at 84¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 89¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside Will BITCH by Lizzo have above.

Price history

84¢ current

+3¢
80¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If BITCH by Lizzo has above 10K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 10K

Rank

#1 of 8

Leader

Above 10K 79¢

Range

4¢-79¢

Family volume

$91

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-BIT26JUN11-10K

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

84¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

79¢

Ask

89¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 8

8 outcomes · Will BITCH by Lizzo have above

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$91

Orderbook snapshot

79 / 89¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
79¢200
AskSize
89¢200
99¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If BITCH by Lizzo has above 10K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-BIT26JUN11-10K

SF Signal
SF Index
4090.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

578.0%

IY (No)

8180.0%

Adj IY

4090%

CRI

4

Overround

1.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

578.0%
8180.0%
Adj IY
4090%
4
Overround
1.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.