Bo Nickal · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14NICDAU
Bo Nickal is priced at 75¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 74¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14NICDAU.
Price history
75¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Bo Nickal wins the Nickal vs Daukaus professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Bo Nickal
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Bo Nickal 74¢
Range
25¢-74¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14NICDAU-NIC
May 24, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
74¢
Ask
75¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$276
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14NICDAU
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
74 / 75¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Bo Nickal wins the Nickal vs Daukaus professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14NICDAU-NIC
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14NICDAU.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Bo Nickal 74¢
Current share
24%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 75% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.