Brazil · KXWCGROUPWIN-26C
Brazil is priced at 73¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 73¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPWIN-26C.
Price history
73¢ current
Contract brief
If Brazil finish first in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Brazil
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Brazil 73¢
Range
1¢-73¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXWCGROUPWIN-26C-BRA
May 26, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
73¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$52
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPWIN-26C
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
73 / 74¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Brazil finish first in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPWIN-26C-BRA
Event family
KXWCGROUPWIN-26C.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Brazil 73¢
Current share
1%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 73% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.