Morocco · KXWCGROUPWIN-26C
Morocco is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXWCGROUPWIN-26C.
Price history
21¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Morocco finish first in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Morocco
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Brazil 72¢
Range
1¢-72¢
Family volume
$922
Identifier
KXWCGROUPWIN-26C-MAR
May 28, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$882
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCGROUPWIN-26C
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$922
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Morocco finish first in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPWIN-26C-MAR
Event family
KXWCGROUPWIN-26C.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$922
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Brazil 72¢
Current share
96%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.