SimpleFunctions

Cameron Carr · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1

Cameron Carr is priced at 92¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 88¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1.

Price history

92¢ current

+51¢
50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Cameron Carr is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Cameron Carr

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

AJ Dybantsa 99¢

Range

2¢-99¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-CCAR

May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

92¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

88¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

88 / 96¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
88¢98
87¢278
AskSize
96¢265
97¢160
98¢10
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Cameron Carr is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-CCAR

SF Signal
SF Index
3849.66
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NBA Draft First-Round Selection Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNBADRAFTTOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

143.2%

IY (No)

7699.3%

Adj IY

3850%

CRI

7

Overround

15.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

143.2%
7699.3%
Adj IY
3850%
7
Overround
15.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.