SimpleFunctions

Koa Peat · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1

Koa Peat is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 47¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1.

Price history

25¢ current

35¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 9, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Koa Peat is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Koa Peat

Rank

#15 of 16

Leader

AJ Dybantsa 97¢

Range

1¢-97¢

Family volume

$543

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-KPEA

May 26, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 37m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
May 26, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 37m ago

Bid

Ask

50¢

Spread

47¢

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#15 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Family volume

$543

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 50¢

Kalshi
47¢ spread
BidSize
3¢4
2¢375
AskSize
50¢8
51¢400
72¢7
74¢5
95¢13

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Koa Peat is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-KPEA

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at .

View counterpart

Browse this series

NBA Draft First-Round Selection Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNBADRAFTTOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2171.6%
438.3%
Adj IY
0%
2
RV
236%
VR
0.52
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
19.8%
LAS
1.39

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.