Childish Gambino · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01
Childish Gambino is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01.
Price history
46¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Childish Gambino releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Childish Gambino
Rank
#16 of 16
Leader
Chris Brown 99¢
Range
31¢-99¢
Family volume
$647
Identifier
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHIL
May 27, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$539
Family rank
#16 of 16
16 outcomes · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Family volume
$647
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Childish Gambino releases a new song in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 8, 2027
Identifier
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHIL
Event family
KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$647
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Chris Brown 99¢
Current share
0%
Chris Brown
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHR
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-ARI
Future
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-FUT
Stray Kids
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-STR
Lola Young
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-LOL
Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BAD
Camilo
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CAM
Big Sean
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BIG
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BIL
21 Savage
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-21S
Beyoncé
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BEY
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-ADD
Benson Boone
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-BEN
Chappell Roan
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHA
Clairo
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CLA
Childish Gambino
kalshi · KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-CHIL
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.