Markets · Series
Artist 2026 Song Release Markets — 51 contracts, SF signal on every row.
51 live Kalshi contracts (51 audited). Median implied probability sits at 85%. Refreshed every 5 minutes.
Fit: mean deviation 10.4pp · cheapest KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-DAF · richest KXSONGRELEASE-27JAN01-ARI.
Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXSONGRELEASE.
/api/public/markets/series/KXSONGRELEASE/api/public/yield-curves/KXSONGRELEASE›example response
{
"scope": {
"type": "series",
"slug": "KXSONGRELEASE",
"label": "Artist 2026 Song Release Markets"
},
"live": {
"contractCount": 51,
"volume24hSum": 201,
"hasThesisCount": 0
},
"termFit": {
"seriesType": "unknown",
"hazardRate": 0.00964
}
}Live contracts
51
Median IY
85¢
implied prob (YES)
24h volume
$201
Days to catalyst
none
no scheduled catalyst
SF thesis coverage
0
Top mover
—
no 24h moves
Artist 2026 Song Release Markets — liquidity topography (top 3 of 51 markets)
X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 6.6 → 28.1%
Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →
Top markets in Artist 2026 Song Release Markets
Showing top 20 of 51Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 24 May 2026 14:38:24 GMT.
Term-structure analytics
Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXSONGRELEASE →
Category view
All Kalshi Entertainment markets. /markets/category/entertainment →
Venue view
Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →
JSON API
Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →