SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 7, 2027

Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

1¢
$1.3M volume
$1.1M liquidity
1036% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$124K

Best sibling

Cirie Fields 6¢

Ticker

KXSURVIVOR-26DEC31-CHRI

Market snapshot

Christian Hubicki in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Christian Hubicki win Survivor Season 50?. The displayed quote is 1¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1.3M. In the KXSURVIVOR-26DEC31 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.

Outcome

Christian Hubicki

Family rank

#5 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 7, 2027

Reported volume

$1.3M

Family context

16 outcomes · KXSURVIVOR-26DEC31

Quote range

1¢-85¢

Family leader

Aubry Bracco 85¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXSURVIVOR-26DEC31-CHRI. Family volume: $124K.

Price history

1¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
2¢17K
3¢2.0K
4¢100
5¢500
100¢530K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Christian Hubicki is officially declared the winner of Survivor Season 50 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Identifier

KXSURVIVOR-26DEC31-CHRI

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

cultural

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.