Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?
This contract is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$406
Best sibling
Samuel Alito 58¢
Ticker
KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-CT
Market snapshot
Clarence Thomas in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?. The displayed quote is 45¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $28K. In the KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Clarence Thomas
Family rank
#2 of 4
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
45¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 20, 2029
Reported volume
$28K
Family context
4 outcomes · KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29
Quote range
10¢-58¢
Family leader
Samuel Alito 58¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 10m ago
Venue identifier: KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-CT. Family volume: $406.
Price history
45¢ current
−12¢Orderbook snapshot
40 / 45¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Clarence Thomas resigns, or announces intent to resign, from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2029
Identifier
KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-CT
Event family
KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$406
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Samuel Alito 58¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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