SimpleFunctions

D Baby win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bruce and D Baby

D Baby is priced at 50¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30DBABBRUC.

Price history

50¢ current

+4¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 20, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If D Baby wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Bruce and D Baby originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

D Baby

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Bruce 47¢

Range

45¢-47¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30DBABBRUC-DBAB

May 25, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 25, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

45¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30DBABBRUC

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

45 / 54¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
45¢150
43¢300
21¢40
13¢947
3¢13
AskSize
54¢227
55¢300
96¢3.3K
97¢66
99¢56

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If D Baby wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Bruce and D Baby originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30DBABBRUC-DBAB

SF Signal
SF Index
1165.39
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30DBABBRUC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Bruce 47¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2330.8%
1560.3%
Adj IY
1165%
1

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.