Will Latin win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 king of the court matchup between Nesco, Moon and Latin
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 43% across 17 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
43%
17 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$2K
17 contracts
Closes
Jun 14, 2026
21 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
17 clusters across 17 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will Tello win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Tello and Patt
Will Tello win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Tello and Patt?: Tello
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL-TELL
Cluster 2
Will Nas + Dooley win the Off The Dribble 2v2 between Nas + Dooley and Keem + Greg
Cluster 3
Will Bijan win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bijan and Reese
Will Bijan win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bijan and Reese?: Bijan
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30REESBIJA-BIJA
Cluster 4
Will Bruce win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bruce and D Baby
Will Bruce win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bruce and D Baby?: Bruce
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30DBABBRUC-BRUC
Cluster 5
Will Keyon win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Scar and Keyon
Will Keyon win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Scar and Keyon?: Keyon
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30KEYOSCAR-KEYO
Cluster 6
Will Nesco win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 king of the court matchup between Nesco, Moon and Latin
Cluster 7
Will Latin win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 king of the court matchup between Nesco, Moon and Latin
Cluster 8
Will Moon win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 between Nesco, Moon and Latin
Will Moon win the Off The Dribble 1v1v1 between Nesco, Moon and Latin?: Moon
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30MOONNESCLATI-MOON
Cluster 9
Will Ryan win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Ryan and 02Duecee
Will Ryan win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Ryan and 02Duecee?: Ryan
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY3002DURYAN-RYAN
Cluster 10
Will Reese win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bijan and Reese
Will Reese win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bijan and Reese?: Reese
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30REESBIJA-REES
Cluster 11
Will Zae + Uncle Skoob win the Off The Dribble tag team 1v1 between Zae + Uncle Skoob and Rob Colon + Lamar Peters
Cluster 12
Will Rob Colon + Lamar Peters win the Off The Dribble tag team 1v1 between Zae + Uncle Skoob and Rob Colon + Lamar Peters
Cluster 13
Will Patt win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Tello and Patt
Will Patt win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Tello and Patt?: Patt
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL-PATT
Cluster 14
Will Scar win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Scar and Keyon
Will Scar win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Scar and Keyon?: Scar
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30KEYOSCAR-SCAR
Cluster 15
Will Keem + Greg win the Off The Dribble 2v2 between Nas + Dooley and Keem + Greg
Cluster 16
Will D Baby win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bruce and D Baby
Will D Baby win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Bruce and D Baby?: D Baby
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30DBABBRUC-DBAB
Cluster 17
Will 02Duecee win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Ryan and 02Duecee
Will 02Duecee win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Ryan and 02Duecee?: 02Duecee
KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY3002DURYAN-02DU
Analysis
This probability reflects market expectations that Latin will win a three-player basketball competition among Latin, Nesco, and Moon in an Off The Dribble king-of-the-court format. The 42% probability suggests roughly even odds relative to his two opponents combined, indicating moderate confidence in his chances. Market sentiment appears driven by recent performance history and head-to-head matchup data in similar tournaments. The outcome depends on factors like current form, court conditions on match day, and how the three-player dynamic plays out compared to typical one-on-one scenarios. Resolution will occur when the tournament is completed and a winner is officially determined, providing clear market settlement.
- ›Latin's historical win rate in Off The Dribble matchups versus Nesco and Moon specifically
- ›The format advantage or disadvantage of three-player king-of-the-court versus bilateral matchups
- ›Recent tournament performance and point differential data for all three competitors in the past 60 days
- ›Physical condition and injury status of Latin heading into the scheduled event date
- ›Trading volume and directional bets on Kalshi (currently $71 in 24-hour volume suggests active interest but limited price movement)
What moved the line
- May 22Bijan↓41pp46→5¢ · Kalshi
- May 22Keyon↓41pp50→9¢ · Kalshi
- May 22Ryan↓41pp46→5¢ · Kalshi
- May 22Keem + Greg↓37pp46→9¢ · Kalshi
- May 23Rob Colon + Lamar Peters↑35pp12→47¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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