SimpleFunctions

Dame Sarr · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1

Dame Sarr is priced at 59¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 96¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1.

Price history

59¢ current

55¢60¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Dame Sarr is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Dame Sarr

Rank

#12 of 16

Leader

AJ Dybantsa 99¢

Range

2¢-99¢

Family volume

$8K

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-DSAR

May 28, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

59¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

Ask

96¢

Spread

96¢

Reported volume

$6

Family rank

#12 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Family volume

$8K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 96¢

Kalshi
96¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
96¢260
97¢160
98¢10
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Dame Sarr is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-DSAR

SF Signal
SF Index
740.76
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

NBA Draft First-Round Selection Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNBADRAFTTOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

715.4%

IY (No)

1481.5%

Adj IY

741%

CRI

1

Overround

15.8%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

715.4%
1481.5%
Adj IY
741%
1
Overround
15.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.