Will David Moyes cease to be manager of Everton before Aug 1, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will David Moyes cease to be manager of Everton before Aug 1, 2026?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing August 8, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 2¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in a binary outcome on Moyes's Everton tenure.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a wide 2¢ spread, suggesting minimal trader interest in a binary outcome on Moyes's Everton tenure. The 0¢ price implies near-zero probability of his departure before August 2026, yet the astronomical 3325% implied yield on the Yes side indicates the market is severely mispriced or simply inactive—a classic sign of a dead contract. With 111 days to expiry and recent price movement from 6¢ to 9¢, any position entry would face substantial execution risk and potential difficulty exiting.
Resolution rules
If David Moyes ceases to be the manager of Everton starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMANAGERSOUT-26AUG01EPL-DMOY yes 100