Derrick Lewis · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14HOKLEW
Derrick Lewis is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14HOKLEW.
Price history
29¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Derrick Lewis wins the Hokit vs Lewis professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Derrick Lewis
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Josh Hokit 72¢
Range
28¢-72¢
Family volume
$16K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14HOKLEW-LEW
May 24, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
28¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$14K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14HOKLEW
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$16K
Orderbook snapshot
28 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Derrick Lewis wins the Hokit vs Lewis professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14HOKLEW-LEW
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14HOKLEW.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Josh Hokit 72¢
Current share
84%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.