Will Detroit win 6+ games in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?

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64¢
Bid/Ask 48/64¢·Spread 16¢·Vol $305.28·OI $301.47·Closes Jul 8, 2026·79d remaining
KXNBAPLAYOFFWINS-26DET-6
7-day price4 snapshots · 12 regime
68¢48¢ current
Apr 1848¢Apr 20

Analysis

20h ago

This market shows extremely thin liquidity with only $6 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating a wide 15¢ spread that likely reflects pricing uncertainty rather than informed consensus. The 83¢ price implies Detroit will win 6+ playoff games (requiring at least a second-round appearance), but the asymmetric implied yields—214.8% for Yes versus 969.8% for No—suggest the No side is severely underpriced relative to the Yes position, indicating potential mispricing or a liquidity-driven distortion. With 80 days to expiry and a flat 7-day price history, this market lacks sufficient trading activity to be reliable for serious prediction purposes.

Resolution rules

If Detroit has at least 6 playoff wins in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 499.6%
IY (No) 425.7%
Adj IY 167%
CRI 1
Overround 2.4%
LAS 0.33
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)499.6%
IY (No)425.7%
Adj IY167%
CRI1
Overround2.4%
LAS0.33

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
16¢
Computed
4/20/2026, 7:12:06 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/20/2026, 7:08:25 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNBAPLAYOFFWINS-26DET-6 yes 100

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