SimpleFunctions

Diego Hidalgo / Patrik Trhac to win the Goransson / King vs Hidalgo / Trhac

Diego Hidalgo / Patrik Trhac is priced at 53¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 27¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29GORKINHIDTRH.

Price history

53¢ current

+48¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Diego Hidalgo / Patrik Trhac wins the Goransson / King vs Hidalgo / Trhac professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Diego Hidalgo / Patrik Trhac

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Andre Goransson / Evan King 51¢

Range

39¢-51¢

Family volume

$7

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29GORKINHIDTRH-HIDTRH

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

53¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

39¢

Ask

66¢

Spread

27¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29GORKINHIDTRH

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$7

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 66¢

Kalshi
27¢ spread
BidSize
39¢1.0K
12¢44
11¢555
7¢46
6¢2.0K
AskSize
66¢109
67¢555
68¢30
83¢44
84¢60

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Diego Hidalgo / Patrik Trhac wins the Goransson / King vs Hidalgo / Trhac professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Doubles Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29GORKINHIDTRH-HIDTRH

SF Signal
SF Index
3933.15
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXATPDOUBLES-26MAY29GORKINHIDTRH.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Andre Goransson / Evan King 51¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3933.2%

IY (No)

1607.7%

Adj IY

3933%

CRI

2

RV

2637%

VR

3.89

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3933.2%
1607.7%
Adj IY
3933%
2
RV
2637%
VR
3.89
IAR
0.6/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.