SimpleFunctions

Do That Again by Malcolm Todd have above 25000 Album Equivalent Units during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026 tracking week

Above 25K is priced at 83¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 78¢ bid, 87¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside Will Do That Again by Malcolm Todd have above.

Price history

83¢ current

+5¢
80¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Do That Again by Malcolm Todd has above 25K Album Equivalent Units during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 25K

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Above 25K 78¢

Range

1¢-78¢

Family volume

$3

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-DOT26JUN11-25K

May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

83¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

78¢

Ask

87¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · Will Do That Again by Malcolm Todd have above

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Family volume

$3

Orderbook snapshot

78 / 87¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
78¢5
77¢200
71¢41
23¢251
22¢433
AskSize
87¢200
94¢40
95¢107
97¢50
98¢389

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Do That Again by Malcolm Todd has above 25K Album Equivalent Units during the June 5, 2026 - June 11, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 14, 2026

Identifier

KXALBUMEQUIV-DOT26JUN11-25K

SF Signal
SF Index
3883.59
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will Do That Again by Malcolm Todd have above.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above 25K 78¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

Artist Album-Equivalent-Units Forecast Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMEQUIV series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

617.9%

IY (No)

7767.2%

Adj IY

3884%

CRI

4

Overround

0.7%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

617.9%
7767.2%
Adj IY
3884%
4
Overround
0.7%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.